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Viewing cable 06PRETORIA844, SOUTH AFRICA: ANC WILL DOMINATE LIMPOPO DESPITE
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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
---|---|---|---|---|
06PRETORIA844 | 2006-03-01 08:15 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Pretoria |
VZCZCXRO2783
PP RUEHDU RUEHJO RUEHMR
DE RUEHSA #0844/01 0600815
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 010815Z MAR 06
FM AMEMBASSY PRETORIA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1890
INFO RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY PRIORITY
RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES PRIORITY 0200
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUCPDC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 04 PRETORIA 000844
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
STATE PLEASE PASS TO DEPT OF HUD
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV EFIN EINV EAID SF
SUBJECT: SOUTH AFRICA: ANC WILL DOMINATE LIMPOPO DESPITE
WATER DELIVERY CHALLENGES
REF: A. 05 PRETORIA 4585
¶B. 06 PRETORIA 347
(U) This cable is Sensitive But Unclassified. Not for
Internet Distribution.
¶1. (SBU) Summary. The residents of Waterberg and Vhembe
District Municipalities in Limpopo live with high levels of
unemployment, poverty, and limited access to public services.
Despite frustrations, the electorate stands behind the ANC
and will vote overwhelming for them in the March 1 local
elections. Some residents will abstain from voting or vote
for opposition parties, but this will not have much impact on
the election outcome. A recent protest did occur in the
Waterberg region against local government, but political
undertones instead of service delivery appeared to drive this
unrest. Local government considers housing and electricity
delivery areas of relative success given the challenges
faced. Water delivery remains the central crisis facing
local government, as water is critical to the livelihood of
its population and the region's economic growth prospects.
End Summary.
Background
----------
¶2. (SBU) This cable is part of a series of cables reporting
on public service delivery and the mood of the electorate in
advance of local elections on March 1. Team members,
including Embassy, Consulate, and USAID personnel, visited
diverse municipalities in all nine provinces. Refs A and B
served as background pieces surrounding the local elections
and service delivery nationwide. This cable provides a
summary of February visits by EconOff and PolAsst to
municipalities in the Limpopo province. Municipalities
visited included the Waterberg and Vhembe District
Municipalities and their Local Municipalities of Mookgophong
(Waterberg), Bela-Bela (Waterberg), Thulamela (Vhembe), and
Makhado (Vhembe).
Poverty and Unemployment Permeates in Limpopo
---------------------------------------------
¶3. (U) Hundreds of villages comprise the northern province of
Limpopo, which shares borders with Botswana, Zimbabwe, and
Mozambique. The provincial capital of Polokwane and a
variety of small towns link these scattered villages. As you
drive throughout the province, the primary economic
activities of farming, mining, and tourism become evident.
This economic activity is not enough, however, to combat the
high unemployment and poverty in the region. In the
Waterberg District Municipality, over half its 600,000
residents live in poverty and the official unemployment rate
is 31%. The unofficial unemployment rate, which excludes
those who have stopped looking for work, is almost certainly
higher. Waterberg residents, including the Tswana, Basotho,
and Bapedi ethnic groups, are scattered across an area of
44,000 square kilometers, roughly the size of The
Netherlands. The Vhembe Municipality is less than half the
size of Waterberg, but has twice as many people as well as
higher poverty and unemployment levels. Vhembe's 1.2 million
residents, primarily from the Venda ethnic group, endure an
official unemployment rate that is over 50%. Over 60% of
Vhembe residents live in poverty.
ANC Will Dominate; Voter Turnout Should Be Lower
--------------------------------------------- ---
¶4. (SBU) The ANC should win an overwhelming number of the
municipal councilor seats in the March 1 election. The ANC
has historically dominated the Waterberg and Vhembe
Municipalities of Limpopo, with 80%-90% of the electorate
supporting the party in the last elections. The Mayor of
Makhado (Vhembe) even seemed slightly embarrassed of the
prospect that the opposition might not win any seats at all.
The African Christian Democratic Party (ACDP) and the
Democratic Alliance (DA) are the only other parties likely to
attract a share of the votes. Other political parties that
have a presence in the area are the United Democratic
Movement (UDM), Independent Democrats (ID), Freedom Front,
and local Shangaan parties in the eastern portion of Vhembe.
Many of those who were not chosen as ANC candidates are
running as independents. Local leaders and residents did not
PRETORIA 00000844 002 OF 004
predict, however, that independents will win many seats, if
any.
¶5. (SBU) Overall, the mood of the electorate was mixed, with
some residents clearly frustrated and unsure if they would
vote, and others more positive and staunchly behind the ANC.
Most local politicians were optimistic that voters would turn
out to support them. Other leaders were more candid,
admitting that a lower turnout could reflect frustrations
with local government and voter apathy. Some residents
reportedly plan to boycott the elections or vote for
opposition parties, most notably youth groups and others who
do not approve of the ANC candidate selection process. A
voting boycott movement has been rumored to have garnered
support in the Waterberg Municipality.
Local Government Complaints
---------------------------
¶6. (SBU) Many residents questioned the effectiveness of
current municipal councilors. These residents complained
that they have little contact with their municipal councilors
and that they were only getting to know them during the
election campaign. The Vhembe Mayor explained that some
councilors have to balance a full-time job, such as school
principal or nurse, with their municipal duties, but admitted
that contact with residents could be improved. To combat
this image, most of the municipalities visited were working
to improve local government's communication with its
residents by improving their ward committee operations,
coordinating with traditional leaders, and holding imbizos
(community meetings). This effort has kept relative
stability in the area, while other provinces have been faced
with unrest. Local leaders have found that once the
challenges to service delivery are explained, most residents
seem to understand and support their efforts.
¶7. (SBU) One exception to the province's stability was a
recent protest in the Bela-Bela Township of Waterberg.
Residents burned tires and dust pans in the streets to
protest against local government, ostensibly for selling land
with an informal settlement on it to a white man. EconOff
was told that bulldozers later cleared out the informal
shacks that were on the land. The police dispersed the
protesters, allegedly led by young communist party members,
with rubber bullets. In Mookgophong (Waterberg), another
youth group submitted a petition to protest, but local
government denied the request.
Relative Successes: Housing and Electricity
-------------------------------------------
¶8. (SBU) The Vhembe and Waterberg Municipalities claim
housing and electricity delivery as relative successes. In
Vhembe, less than 3% of households do not have formal housing
(i.e., they live in a temporary shack), making it one of the
ten best District Municipalities in housing delivery. About
15% do not live in formal housing in Waterberg, but this is
still lower than many other municipalities in South Africa.
In Thulamela (Vhembe), 16,500 houses have been built since
¶2000. In Makhado (Vhembe), they have built 9,000 houses
since 2000. One factor working in Limpopo's favor is that in
the rural areas land is more abundant and people are
accustomed to providing their own housing. Therefore, rural
residents do not demand or wait for government-provided
housing as they do in urban areas. The varied and larger
than average houses that you see in rural Limpopo provide
testimony for this factor, specifically in the Vhembe
Municipality.
¶9. (SBU) Informal squatter camps are an issue closer to the
more urban areas, especially along the N1 highway that runs
from Pretoria to Zimbabwe. Immigrants from Zimbabwe as well
as other African countries live in many of these communities.
Municipal governments have given priority attention to
building houses for these informal households, but this will
only apply to those who are South African citizens.
Waterberg plans to build 1,000 houses this year and an
additional 1,000 the next year in an effort to reduce the
size of its informal squatter camps.
¶10. (SBU) The Vhembe and Waterberg Municipalities have not
been as successful with electricity delivery as housing, but
PRETORIA 00000844 003 OF 004
have still made some strides given their challenges of
servicing hundreds of rural villages. About 35% of
households remain without electricity in Waterberg, while
about 39% of households lack electricity in Vhembe. In
Makhado (Vhembe), they have electrified 45,000 households,
but a backlog of 30,000 to 35,000 households still exists.
This backlog includes only 26 villages out of the 280 total
villages in the municipality. In Thulamela (Vhembe), 168 of
438 villages need to be electrified. Community savings
programs are in process to meet this need. These programs
involve households saving R1,000 ($165) to donate
collectively so that their house can be hooked up to the
electricity grid.
Water Delivery Problems Loom
----------------------------
¶11. (SBU) Water delivery problems loom large in Limpopo and
are the central concern among local leaders and residents.
Hundreds of villages are scattered about the rural and
mountainous landscape, making it difficult to stretch
services to all areas. The water infrastructure that does
exist is old and lacked proper maintenance for a number of
years. Currently, about 32% of Waterberg households and 41%
of Vhembe households do not have piped water within 200
meters of their homes. For these reasons, Limpopo is not
likely to meet comply with national government's goal of
delivering water to all households by 2008.
¶12. (SBU) Currently, boreholes are the primary source of
water in many areas, which inconsistently provide a water
supply. Many residents have to walk for miles to get water
or are fetching water from local streams. In addition,
certain residents that operate the boreholes charge other
residents for the water they use. The quality of water is
also an issue, as the Thulamela area of the Vhembe
Municipality did suffer a recent cholera outbreak.
¶13. (SBU) Many municipal leaders spoke of needing a reliable
water supply to ensure economic growth. Mining exploration
in the Waterberg Municipality has been restricted by water
constraints and the Makhado Municipality (Vhembe) struggles
to supply a growing Air Force base in the area. Local
government lacks the resources to implement a plan quick
enough despite its dedication to fix the water problem. Dams
in the area provide plentiful sources of water, but the main
obstacle is upgrading and building the infrastructure to
deliver the water to all areas. For example, the Makhado
Municipality spoke of a five-year plan to put this
infrastructure in place; however, the municipality faces this
challenge without a civil engineer on their staff.
Other Challenges
----------------
¶14. (SBU) A myriad of other challenges face municipalities in
Limpopo. Roads, education, financial management, health,
land reform, and sanitation issues to name a few:
-- Roads. Most village roads are not paved and are in poor
condition, especially since the heavy rains of the current
summer.
-- Education. Less than 15% of Limpopo residents over the
age 20 have a grade 12 education. Many children are
instructed under trees, as proper classrooms have not been
built.
-- Financial Management. Rate collections are poor and the
pace of budget spending is slower than desirable. New
billing systems have been implemented at the District and
Local levels in Vhembe.
-- Health. Established clinics and hospitals operate in most
communities, but they lack the trained staff to deal with the
workload. Funeral parlors continue to spring up around the
region as a result of increased deaths caused by HIV/AIDS.
In Makhado, the Mayor stated that they lose two to three
municipal employees a month from AIDS.
-- Land reform. Most farms in the municipalities visited
were white owned. Blacks do own some farms as a result of
land reform, but the land restitution and redistribution
PRETORIA 00000844 004 OF 004
process continues. Local leaders were mostly positive about
this process and did not foresee major problems in this area.
-- Sanitation/Refuse Services. The municipalities visited
have mostly ignored the delivery of sanitation (i.e., flush
toilets) or refuse removal services at this point. About 60%
of Waterberg residents are living without sanitation
services, while 80% of Vhembe residents suffer the same fate.
Municipal governments have chosen to focus on the basics of
water, electricity, and housing, which means that residents
will be using bucket or pit toilets and taking care of their
own trash for awhile.
Comment
-------
¶15. (SBU) Many residents in the Vhembe and Waterberg
Municipalities are living without basic services, but are
peacefully at odds with their local government. Residents
are critical of their local leaders and pace of service
delivery, but are not ready to abandon their loyalty to the
ANC government. If local government can overcome its
capacity constraints, communicate with its citizens, and make
steady progress on its service delivery challenges, the ANC
should remain dominant in this region for years to come. If
the ANC cannot deliver on its promises in the future, the
door could open slightly for the opposition to increase its
influence.
TEITELBAUM