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Viewing cable 09PHNOMPENH283, CLIMATE CHANGE RISING ON THE RGC'S RADAR
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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
---|---|---|---|---|
09PHNOMPENH283 | 2009-05-04 09:08 | 2011-07-11 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Phnom Penh |
VZCZCXRO5338
RR RUEHAST RUEHCHI RUEHDH RUEHDT RUEHHM RUEHLN RUEHMA RUEHNH RUEHPB
RUEHPOD RUEHTM RUEHTRO
DE RUEHPF #0283/01 1240908
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 040908Z MAY 09
FM AMEMBASSY PHNOM PENH
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0660
INFO RUCNASE/ASEAN MEMBER COLLECTIVE
RUEHZN/ENVIRONMENT SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY COLLECTIVE
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHINGTON DC
RUEHRC/DEPT OF AGRICULTURE WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 04 PHNOM PENH 000283
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
STATE FOR EAP/MLS, OES AND S/P
COMMERCE FOR NOAA
USDA FOR FAS
STATE PLEASE PASS TO EPA
BANGKOK FOR REO/HHOWARD
BANGKOK FOR USAID/RDMA
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: SENV EAGR ENRG EAID EIND CB
SUBJECT: CLIMATE CHANGE RISING ON THE RGC'S RADAR
REF: A) PHNOM PENH 202, B) 08 PHNOM PENH 1003
SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED
¶1. (SBU) SUMMARY. Climate change is a relatively new issue in
Cambodia, but it is increasingly gaining the attention and concern
of the Royal Government of Cambodia (RGC). As a Least Developed
Country (LDC), Cambodia stands to lose much if the predicted effects
of climate change come true. The country's high dependence on
agriculture and fisheries, poor health sector infrastructure, and
limited ability to monitor changing weather patterns highlight the
country's vulnerability to the potential impacts of climate change.
The RGC has developed a National Action Program for Adaptation to
Climate Change, but lacks funding for implementation. Greenhouse
gas mitigation receives less attention, although the RGC has
registered a few projects under the Clean Development Mechanism and
is exploring potential Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and
Degradation programs in cooperation with environmental NGOs. As in
many sectors in Cambodia, funding, capacity, and a lack of
inter-ministerial coordination are barriers to the RGC effectively
dealing with the impacts of climate change. Continued investments
in agriculture, health and education could help to mitigate some of
these impacts. END SUMMARY.
HIGH DEPENDENCE ON AGRICULTURE, FISHERIES
-----------------------------------------
¶2. (U) Cambodia's agricultural sector accounts for approximately 30%
of GDP and 58% of the labor force, but a much higher percentage -
about 85% - of the rural population depends on farming to meet basic
subsistence needs. In spite of the emphasis placed on agriculture
in development planning and everyday life, growth of the
agricultural sector continues to lag behind its potential and other
key sectors driving economic growth. Limited investment in
agricultural technology has meant that Cambodian crop yields have
been traditionally lower than they could be, and they are vulnerable
to changing weather patterns. A January 2009 report by Singaporean
think tank Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia
(EEPSEA) mapped the region's climate vulnerability and found that
parts of Cambodia, such Mondulkiri province, were among the most
vulnerable to the potential effects of climate change, due to the
country's low adaptive capacity. For example, rural farmers'
dependence on natural flooding patterns could lead to reduced crop
yields when droughts or excessive flooding occur.
¶3. (U) Cambodia's highly productive inland fisheries also account
for a significant food source. According to reports by the World
Fish Center and the Mekong River Commission, the inland fish
production of Cambodia alone is higher than that of North America.
These fisheries supply 80% of the animal protein in the diet of the
Cambodian population and are estimated to be worth over $2 billion
taken as a whole. A February 2009 study by World Fish Center found
that less-developed, fishery-dependent countries such as Cambodia
are among the most vulnerable to the effects of climate change. A
World Wildlife Fund for Nature (WWF) assessment of the Mekong
region's vulnerability to climate change found similar risks,
cautioning that accelerated glacial melt, less predictable rainfall
patterns, and changing water temperatures could have serious impacts
on Cambodian fisheries.
HEALTH CHALLENGES
-----------------
¶4. (U) Climate change could also lead to increases in mosquito-borne
diseases and illnesses caused by poor water sanitation, according to
the Cambodian Ministry of Health (MOH). Malaria incidence has
decreased since 1999, but Dr. Duong Socheat, Director of the
Cambodian National Malaria Center, told Econoff that the number of
dengue fever cases has been steadily increasing, with a spike in
¶2007. The MOH cautioned in a 2007 report that increased flooding
and drought could also reduce availability of clean water, leading
to a rise in bacterial infections. The report noted that health
impacts of climate change would be more severe on Cambodia's
majority poor and rural population, which has less access to public
health facilities.
WEATHER CHANGING, BUT HOW MUCH, AND WHAT'S TO BLAME?
--------------------------------------------- -------
¶5. (SBU) Seth Vannareth, Director of the Cambodian Department of
Meteorology (DOM), told Econoff that the average high temperature in
Cambodia had increased over the past 27 years, but she was hesitant
PHNOM PENH 00000283 002 OF 004
to estimate a specific figure. She said that in the past 10 years,
she had also observed more frequent and more severe periods of
drought but admitted that weather patterns were becoming too
unpredictable for her to guess if this trend would continue. She
explained that it would be difficult to verify if these temperature
and weather patterns could be attributed to climate change, because
most of her data only went back as far as 1982. Pre-Khmer Rouge
weather records for parts of the country exist, but only in
hand-written notebooks. Seth Vannareth told Econoff that her office
lacked the time and resources to transcribe these records into the
DOM's computer systems.
THE RGC'S CLIMATE CHANGE STRUCTURE
----------------------------------
¶6. (U) The Ministry of Environment (MOE) has the lead on all climate
change activities in Cambodia. The National Climate Change
Committee (NCCC), established by sub-decree in April 2006, serves as
the primary climate change policy body. Led by the Minister of
Environment, the NCCC includes representatives from the MOE,
Ministry of Water Resources and Meteorology (MOWRAM), Ministry of
Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF), and the Royal University
of Phnom Penh. The MOE also oversees the Cambodian Climate Change
Office (CCCO), which coordinates and implements national climate
change policies, greenhouse gas mitigation and inventory
initiatives, and climate change adaptation activities.
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
-------------------------
¶7. (U) In 2006, the RGC approved the CCCO's National Adaptation
Program of Action to Climate Change (NAPA), which was developed with
support from the Global Environment Facility (GEF). The NAPA
prioritizes climate change adaptation activities in key sectors,
including agriculture, health, and water resources. It includes 39
proposed adaptation projects, which focus on measures that have
direct impacts on the livelihoods of poorer Cambodians. These
so-called "no-regret" projects would facilitate Cambodia's overall
development, even if the effects of climate change did not manifest
as predicted. The list of projects includes such activities as: 1)
increasing the capacity of the Department of Meteorology to monitor
and forecast changing climate patterns; 2) strengthening community
disaster preparedness and response capacity; 3) developing and
improving community irrigation systems; and 4) developing community
rice banks.
¶8. (SBU) Tin Ponlok, head of the CCCO, estimated that all of the
projects in Cambodia's NAPA would cost a combined $196,350,000. The
program's 20 priority projects would total roughly $128,850,000. He
said that the RGC's main barrier to implementing these initiatives
was funding, and he criticized existing climate adaptation funds as
being either too small or too burdened with complex rules for
eligibility and financing (Ref A). In addition to financing its
existing proposals, the RGC may find that its current NAPA is not
enough, according to a 2007/2008 United Nations Development Program
(UNDP) Human Development Report on climate change. The study
cautioned that many Least Developed Country (LDC) NAPAs' financial
provisions may be unrealistically low given the potential climate
change impacts that LDCs face. The report specifically cited
Cambodia's $128 million estimate as being too low.
¶9. (SBU) On March 23, the World Bank announced that donors would
provide $50 million for a climate change adaptation project in
Cambodia under its Pilot Program for Climate Resilience (PPCR).
Cambodia is one of several developing countries to receive funding
from the PPCR, which falls under the World Bank's Strategic Climate
Fund. (NOTE: The UK is the primary donor for the Cambodian portion
of the PPCR. The USG has pledged funding to the World Bank's other
climate investment fund, the Clean Technology Fund. END NOTE.) A
World Bank representative told Econoff that the exact scope and
details of the program had not yet been developed with the RGC. The
Ministry of Economy and Finance, which accepted the program on
behalf of the RGC, has the lead on developing the framework of the
program.
GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION
-------------------------
¶10. (SBU) The RGC's climate change efforts are primarily focused on
adaptation rather than mitigation, as greenhouse gas emissions in
Cambodia are traditionally much lower than those of more developed
nations. For example, the 2007/2008 UNDP Human Development Report
PHNOM PENH 00000283 003 OF 004
calculated that an average air-conditioning unit in Florida emits
more carbon dioxide in a year than a person in Cambodia during their
lifetime. Cambodia is currently one of seven Southeast Asian
countries participating in a UN Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC) project to build developing country capacity to
inventory their greenhouse gas emissions. The project receives
support from the U.S., through the Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA) and State Department, and from Japan. The UNFCCC is using USG
funds to support project management, such as the regional
coordinator's time, costs for regional and national meetings, and
travel of participants. The EPA is also funding and managing
development of an Agriculture and Land-Use Change Greenhouse Gas
Inventory Compilation software tool in cooperation with Colorado
State University.
¶11. (SBU) The RGC's limited greenhouse gas mitigation efforts are
focused on initiatives that could qualify for funding under the
UNFCCC's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) framework. Tin Ponlok
told Econoff that the areas with the largest CDM potential in
Cambodia are renewable energy, energy efficiency, and waste
management. There are currently five RGC-approved CDM projects in
Cambodia; most are small, with the exception of the 193 MW capacity
Kamchay hydropower dam in Kampot Province (Ref B), which is
currently under construction. Other operational initiatives include
a bio-gas project using rice husks and a project generating power
from methane collected from pig farms.
¶12. (SBU) There are several potential REDD (Reducing Emissions from
Deforestation and Degradation) projects being developed, led
primarily by NGOs in cooperation with the Forestry Administration
(FA). Community Forestry International (CFI), recently absorbed by
international NGO PACT, has made the most progress with a potential
REDD project in Oddar Meanchey province, in partnership with the FA
and U.S. firm Terra Global Capital. CFI estimated that the 60,477
hectare project could sequester about 8.7 million metric tons of
carbon dioxide over 30 years, which the NGO estimates could be worth
up to $30 million on the carbon credit markets. Wildlife Alliance
and Wildlife Conservation Society are also developing potential REDD
projects in Koh Kong and Mondulkiri Provinces, respectively.
COORDINATION, CAPACITY ARE CHALLENGES
-------------------------------------
¶13. (SBU) Although the MOE nominally has the lead on climate change
activities, these activities are spread among several ministries and
are rarely coordinated. Tin Ponlok lamented that the RGC's
inter-ministerial committee on climate change had not met since
prior to the July 2008 elections. Seth Vannareth, Director of the
Department of Meteorology (DOM), explained that she conducted her
climate change research in her spare time, and that she did not yet
have a mandate or funding to formally assess climate change patterns
in Cambodia. The CCCO's climate change studies and projections were
conducted by the MOE without the cooperation of the DOM. When asked
if she worked with the MOE, Seth Vannareth confessed that she had
not yet met Tin Ponlok, although she had given presentations on
climate change in Cambodia at various meteorology conferences in the
region. Keo Omaliss, Deputy Director of the FA's Wildlife
Protection Office and the Cambodian lead on REDD programs, told
Econoff that he also had little interaction with the MOE. He knew
which other ministries were engaged in climate-related activities,
but he did not know who his exact counterparts were.
¶14. (SBU) Tin Ponlok, Seth Vannareth, and Keo Omaliss all noted that
there is a strong need for climate change education and scientific
capacity building in Cambodia. Tin Ponlok noted that climate change
research currently has to be conducted with donor resources and
foreign-educated technical experts, as Cambodian institutions are
unable to provide training on climate change issues. Seth Vannareth
emphasized that solid baseline data was needed for future research.
Ouk Navann, Deputy Director of the MOE's Department of Environmental
Education and Communication, felt that an education campaign was
needed to inform both the RGC and the general public of the
potential impacts of climate change. Most RGC officials view
climate change as a strictly environmental issue, Tin Ponlok
explained. He said that the RGC has not yet recognized that climate
change is an economic, social and development issue as well.
COMMENT
-------
¶15. (SBU) In international climate change negotiations, LDCs like
Cambodia can sometimes be drowned out by their more vocal developing
PHNOM PENH 00000283 004 OF 004
country counterparts, such as China and India. But it is the
countries like Cambodia that are most at risk of becoming unstable
if climate change were to impact their basic needs, such as
potential food security effects. Although the USG's traditional
focus on clean energy technology can be helpful, some of the most
effective ways to minimize the impacts of climate change in places
like Cambodia are to support improvements in the technical and
adaptive capacity of the agriculture and fisheries sectors, continue
to support improvements in Cambodia's health infrastructure, and
provide more opportunities for scientific and technical exchanges.
ALLEGRA