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Viewing cable 06ANKARA1410, SCENESETTER FOR MARCH 22-23 VISIT OF CODEL WARNER
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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
---|---|---|---|---|
06ANKARA1410 | 2006-03-16 14:48 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Ankara |
VZCZCXYZ0001
PP RUEHWEB
DE RUEHAK #1410/01 0751448
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 161448Z MAR 06
FM AMEMBASSY ANKARA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4023
INFO RUEHAK/USDAO ANKARA TU PRIORITY
RHMFISS/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC//USDP:PDUSDP/ISA:EUR/ISA:NESA/DSCA// PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J-3/J-5// PRIORITY
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE PRIORITY
RUEUITH/ODC ANKARA TU PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/425ABS IZMIR TU//CC// PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/39ABG INCIRLIK AB TU PRIORITY
UNCLAS ANKARA 001410
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV MARR MASS TU IZ AF IR IS
SUBJECT: SCENESETTER FOR MARCH 22-23 VISIT OF CODEL WARNER
TO TURKEY
REF: STATE 36986
¶1. (SBU) SUMMARY: Your March 22-23 visit comes at a time when
Turkey is attempting to balance its commitments to the West
against its desire to maintain harmonious relations with its
neighbors and to play a constructive role with other Muslim
countries. Turkey remains a significant contributor to the
International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in
Afghanistan, will host a Proliferation Security Initiative
(PSI) exercise in May and is actively engaging the new Iraqi
government and playing a more constructive role there. The
cargo hub at Incirlik Air Base and the Habur Gate border
crossing with Iraq continue to provide a vital link for
Coalition troops. Turkey is engaged in promoting a broad
national unity government in Iraq and is supportive on Iran
nuclear issues. Our relations have improved since a low
point in 2004 - early 2005, but problems remain. The
reception of Hamas was a clumsy mistake; our historically
strong defense industry relationship is deterioriating; and
Turkey is entering a period of pre-electoral turmoil. Your
visit provides an opportunity to review and clear the air on
some of these problems. It also is an opportunity to review
Turkey's contributions on Iraq, Afghanistan and other issues
impacting global security. END SUMMARY.
ENGAGEMENT, NOT ISOLATION
-------------------------
¶2. (SBU) The GOT insists that issues with Syria, Iran and
Hamas can only successfully be resolved through engagement.
Given Turkey's geographic location, overwhelmingly Muslim
population and western-style democracy, the government
believes it is well-placed to send the right messages on
behalf of the international community. Additionally,
Turkey's attempts to grow its trade relationships and its
cooperation with neighboring countries against the PKK are
also factors in the government's position. The GOT has
reportedly pressed Syria to cooperate with the UN
investigation into the Hariri assassination and to prevent
the transit of foreign fighters into Iraq; urged Iran to
comply with IAEA standards; and emphasized to Hamas the need
to recognize Israel, renounce terrorism and commit to
continue the peace process.
¶3. (SBU) Official government statements on Iran's nuclear
program have been noticeably stronger since Iran's decision
to renew uranium enrichment but the same cannot be said for
statements on Syria or Hamas, which tend to put the best face
on the issue. While it does not appear that Turkey's
intervention has yet had a positive impact, the government
insists that isolating these groups -- including financially
-- would not achieve the desired results. You may wish to
emphasize the importance of public statements by the
government that reflect the strong messages it is reportedly
sending in private.
INCREASING COOPERATION WITH IRAQ
--------------------------------
¶4. (SBU) The GOT increasingly engages directly with Iraqi
authorities on issues of mutual interest rather than relying
on the US as a conduit. In addition to its Embassy in
Baghdad, it will re-establish a consulate in Mosul this year.
Turkey's Special Envoy to Iraq, Amb. Oguz Celikkol visited
Baghdad Feb. 23-25 and met with a wide array of Iraqi
political figures, including Kurdish leaders with whom Turkey
has had tense relations. Subsequently, Iraqi PM Jafari
visited Ankara and had useful discussions on economic
cooperation, although the visit prompted critical comments
from Iraqi President Talabani. Turkey's Directorate of
Religious Affairs has said it plans to send officials to Iraq
to meet with Shia and Sunni clerics to promote reconciliation
and has pledged to assist in the reconstruction of the Golden
Dome in Samarra. Many Turks believe Iraq is headed towards
civil war given the increased sectarian violence following
the Samarra bombing. You may be asked about US thinking on
Iraq and what more we would expect from Turkey.
¶5. (SBU) Significant logistical support for the coalition
effort in Iraq is provided by Turkey. The multi-directional
cargo hub at Incirlik Air Base has facilitated the movement
of over 129 million pounds of equipment for coalition troops
since its initiation in May 2005. Six C-17s flying from
Incirlik deliver the same quantity of supplies it previously
took 9-10 planes to deliver from Germany. The cargo hub has
also facilitated the return of a small number of coalition
troops on an emergency basis. The Incirlik air refueling hub
has conducted 2800 sorties delivering 192 million pounds of
fuel in support of OIF and OEF since 2003. Twenty-five
percent of sustainment fuel for Coalition forces enters Iraq
through the Habur Gate border crossing from Turkey.
Two-thirds of humanitarian fuel for the Iraqi people also
flows through this gate, creating periodic bottlenecks. The
current crossing is being upgraded but sporadic discussions
with Iraq on opening additional border crossings have not
made significant progress. With close to $3B in trade with
Iraq during 2005, it is in Turkey's interest to ease
congestion at the border. Despite a recent agreement between
the two governments, the current stoppage of SOMO (the Iraqi
state oil company) humanitarian fuel shippments continues
pending negotiation of new contracts with suppliers and
receiving agreed installment payment on SOMO arrears.
¶6. (U) The government has used its good offices to assist the
democratization process by hosting Iraqi constitution
drafters in the lead-up to the drafting process; Talafar
tribal leaders to discuss their cooperation against the
insurgency there; and a dialogue between hard-line Sunni
leaders and US Ambassador to Iraq Khalilzad. Turkey has
provided extensive training to Iraqi diplomats and political
parties and has spearheaded the "neighbors meetings" process
to help Iraqi government leaders engage their regional
counterparts. Turkey has provided training to over 300 Iraqi
diplomats and political party members at its NATO Center of
Excellence in Ankara and has offered to conduct training
there under NATO Training Mission-Iraq (NTM-I) auspices.
Turkey has 4 personnel serving in the NTM-I Headquarters in
Iraq. You may wish to welcome Turkey's increasing support
for Iraq's democratization process and note US appreciation
for the logistical support provided to the US and coalition
troops.
BUT THE PKK PRESENCE IN IRAQ RANKLES
------------------------------------
¶7. (SBU) The PKK (Kurdistan Workers' Party) terrorist
organization presence in northern Iraq remains a major
preoccupation for the GOT. Attacks attributed to the PKK
continue against Turkish soldiers and Jandarma in Turkey's
southeast in what the GOT presumes are cross-border
operations emanating from Iraq. Istanbul and the far eastern
city of Van witnessed major terrorist attacks in Feb.- Mar.
While recognizing Iraqi and USG limitations to assist Turkey
to combat the PKK at this time, the government finds this
difficult to explain to a Turkish public fed on a steady diet
of news reports about the funerals of Turkish police and
military. Ultimately it holds the US accountable. We are
working with Turkey and European allies to staunch the flow
of funds and logistical support that comes from PKK-connected
criminal activities in Europe. The media is predicting an
escalation of PKK attacks in Turkish cities beginning on the
March 21 annual celebration of Newruz (Kurdish New Year).
SUPPORTING NATO IN AFGHANISTAN
------------------------------
¶8. (U) Turkey has contributed significantly to NATO's
International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) mission in
Afghanistan, successfully commanding ISAF II in 2003 and ISAF
VII in 2005. It is currently planning for a joint command of
Multinational Brigade Central in Kabul with France and Italy
beginning in summer 2006 and will simultaneously open a
Provincial Reconstruction Team (PRT) in neighboring Wardak
Province. Following PM Erdogan's spring 2005 visit to
Afghanistan the government increased its bilateral aid to
$100M, including for the reconstruction of schools, and is
evaluating the provision of counter-narcotics training. You
may wish to recognize Turkey's high level of assistance to
this key front in the Global War on Terrorism.
DEFENSE INDUSTRY COOPERATION A DISAPPOINTMENT
---------------------------------------------
¶9. (SBU) Historically the strongest area of the relationship,
bilateral defense industry cooperation is deteriorating.
Boeing was the last firm to win a direct sale when Turkey
awarded it a contract for an Airborne Early Warning and
Control (AEW&C) system in 2002. Protracted and contentious
negotiations on that contract were not completed until fall
2005 and the first plane landed in Turkey on Mar. 14, 2006.
Boeing and Bell Textron decided not to participate in an
attack helicopter tender due to onerous terms and conditions
that placed extensive liability on the contractor and
required upfront contractor guarantees of technology transfer
rights and licenses. For the same reasons, Sikorsky -- which
had considered establishing its International Blackhawk
production facility in Turkey if it won a tender for 52
utility helicopters for the Turkish Armed Forces and Forestry
Service -- may choose not to bid on that tender. Raytheon
may also opt against participation in a tender for a
propeller airplane trainer. In the last five years, three US
firms -- General Dynamics, Bell Textron and General Atomics
Aviation - have closed their offices in Turkey. You could
express US disappointment at the difficult conditions for US
defense firms in Turkey and remind your interlocutors that
both countries benefit from having US firms compete for
Turkish tenders.
Visit Ankara's Classified Web Site at
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/eur/ankara/
WILSON