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Viewing cable 09TELAVIV361, ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION
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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
---|---|---|---|---|
09TELAVIV361 | 2009-02-11 11:39 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tel Aviv |
VZCZCXYZ0001
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E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OPRC KMDR IS
SUBJECT: ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION
--------------------------------
SUBJECTS COVERED IN THIS REPORT:
--------------------------------
Outcome of Israeli Elections
-------------------------
Key stories in the media:
-------------------------
Electronic media presented the nearly final results of yesterday
Knesset elections (99.7% of ballots have been counted, with only
soldiers votes yet to be included). The results show that Kadima
edges Likud by one Knesset seat, but that Likud Chairman Benjamin
Netanyahu would be able to muster a right wing-bloc (65 seats vs. 55
for the left). Yediot called this a political knot.Q Netanyahu
called for the formation of a national camp government, while
Kadima chair Tzipi Livni renewed her call on Netanyahu to form a
national unity government. Some commentators evoked the possibility
of a rotational government headed by Kadima/Likud. Israel Radio
reported that Likud politicians rule this out: Former FM Silvan
Shalom told the radio that such an arrangement would be possible
only if the two blocs were equal. Yisrael Beiteinu became the
third-largest party in the Knesset but fell well below pre-election
forecasts of nearly 20-seats; its leader, Avigdor Lieberman, called
for the formation of a national camp government. The Labor Party
dropped to 13 seats.
Results in Knesset seats as published this morning:
Kadima 28; Likud:27; Yisrael Beiteinu: 15; Labor Party: 13; Shas:
11; United Torah Judaism: 5 ; National Union: 4; Hadash: 4; RaQam
TaQal (United Arab List - Arab Movement for Renewal): 4; Meretz: 3;
Balad National Democratic Assembly: 3; Jewish Home: 3. (Arab
parties total 10 seats, unchanged from the previous Knesset.)
HaQaretz and Israel Radio reported that yesterday UN Secretary
General Ban Ki-moon appointed a board of inquiry into incidents that
caused deaths and destruction at UN compounds in Gaza during the
recent Israel-Hamas conflict. The board will be headed by Ian
Martin, a Briton who has led various crucial UN missions around the
world. He has been called on to complete the inquiry and submit a
report within one month. Ban said that the board will comprise
legal advisers and a military expert. Citing the AP, HaQaretz, The
Jerusalem Post, and Makor Rishon-Hatzofe quoted an Amnesty
International report released yesterday as saying that Hamas
militants or security forces killed two dozen people and beat or
tortured scores more during and after Israel's recent Gaza
offensive.
The media reported that yesterday dozens of Arab protesters
confronted police in Umm al-Fahm after they learned that Knesset
Member Aryeh Eldad (National Union) was there to serve as the town's
ballot box chairman. Five people were arrested for disturbing the
peace, assault and throwing stones. Maj. Gen. Shimon Koren,
Commander of the Northern Police District, ordered the police to
show the demonstrators "zero tolerance." The right-wing party had
sent Eldad to the Arab town as a backup for extremist Baruch Marzel,
leader of the Jewish National Front, who had been authorized by the
Central Elections Committee to fill the role of ballot box chairman
there. The police had announced their intention to keep Marzel out
of the town in order to preserve public safety and let elections
proceed unhindered. Media quoted RaQam TaQal MK Ahmed Tibi as
saying that he will not support Kadima.
HaQaretz reported that, hours before exit polls were announced,
media in the Arab world predicted that QextremistQ right wing
political parties were expected to make a strong showing in the
Israeli elections. The Jerusalem Post quoted President Shimon Peres
as saying yesterday that it is important for television viewers from
Arab countries to see democracy in practice. The Jerusalem Post and
other media noted that the U.S. media paid scant attention to the
elections.
Makor Rishon-Hatzofe reported on confrontations between Jews and
Muslims in South Africa and Australia.
HaQaretz reported that a public committee and Education Minister
Yuli Tamir have determined that in order to advance co-existence,
each of the sectors -- Jewish and Arab -- must be taught about the
other's culture, history, beliefs and heritage, from pre-school to
grade 12. Instruction hours should likewise be devoted to learning
the "narrative of the other side." HaQaretz also reported that, for
the first time in the history of Israel's academy, an Arab lecturer,
Dr. Mahmoud Yazbak, was elected president of the Middle East and
Islamic Studies Association of Israel (MEISAI), the main association
of researchers of the Middle East and Islam in Israel. The election
brings to an end a long period during which Arabs did not hold key
university positions in Israel in the field of Middle East studies.
-----------------------------
Outcome of Israeli Elections:
-----------------------------
Summary:
--------
Senior columnist Nahum Barnea wrote on page one of the
mass-circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot: Irrespective of
whether she becomes prime minister or not, Tzipi Livni yesterday won
a major victory, one of the most impressive victories in the annals
of Israeli politics.
Diplomatic correspondent Ben Caspit wrote in the popular, pluralist
Maariv: Netanyahu has a real behavior problem. This has not
changed in the course of the years. It has even, perhaps, gotten
worse. If he doesn't straighten up, his second term will be even
shorter than his first.
Diplomatic correspondent Aluf Benn wrote in the independent,
left-leaning Ha'aretz: A [Kadima-Labor] merger would strengthen the
camp that supports a division of the land and a peace deal with
Syria, in contrast with the right wing, which opposes any compromise
or withdrawal.
Former Meretz leader Dr. Yossi Beilin wrote in the independent
Israel Hayom: I had much rather see a government with a clear
direction, with two principal goals: the energetic continuation of
the diplomatic move vis-`-vis the Palestinians and Syria, and an
expansive economic policy investing in infrastructure.
The conservative, independent Jerusalem Post editorialized: Israel
needs an Arab partner with whom to make peace.... That said, Israel
must not shirk its half of the conflict resolution equation.
Editor-in-Chief Amnon Lord wrote in the editorial of the
nationalist, Orthodox Makor Rishon-Hatzofe: The right-wing bloc
scores a huge electoral victory - as is well known, a split one,
but with a statement by the Israeli public regarding the Kadima
governments policy over the past three years.
HaQaretz editorialized: Despite the doubts concerning her
experience and her aggressive stance regarding the fighting in Gaza,
Livni is better than Netanyahu as Israel's next prime minister.
Block Quotes:
-------------
¶I. "Even if She Loses, She's Won"
Senior columnist Nahum Barnea wrote on page one of the
mass-circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot (2/11): The winner is
Livni, but Netanyahu holds the key. If the results of the
television stationsQ exit polls donQt differ dramatically from the
final tally, Netanyahu is facing one of the most important decisions
in his career: he can form a right wing coalition government under
his leadership with either 63 or 64 seats. A coalition of that sort
will restore to the top tier of the Likud and, first and foremost,
to Netanyahu himself the power and influence that they have missed
so badly. From their perspective, that is the advantage of such a
coalition. But that is hardly the coalition that Netanyahu dreamed
about. He doesn't want to head a government whose very existence is
dependent on Lieberman and the National Unions whims. The leaders
of those parties have a hard time persevering inside coalitions.
They will impose political paralysis on Netanyahu and impede his
relations with the U.S. administration. It is no coincidence that
Netanyahu repeatedly said that the greatest political mistake he
made was when he succumbed to the temptation to head a narrow right
wing coalition when he was elected prime minister in 1996. He vowed
never to repeat that mistake.... The solution that seems to beckon
is of a rotating premiership. Livni will serve for two years as
prime minister, after which Netanyahu will serve for two years. The
voters will love that solution, at first at least. Netanyahu will
love it less. Livni isn't going to be overjoyed with the solution,
but she probably won't have much of a choice. Irrespective of
whether she becomes prime minister or not, Tzipi Livni yesterday won
a major victory, one of the most impressive victories in the annals
of Israeli politics. She won her party the same number of seats
that Ehud Olmert won it in 2006. Olmert had the option of relying
on the enormous support that Ariel Sharon had garnered. Livni
started almost from scratch. Her campaign was personal: People who
voted for Kadima didn't, for the most part, vote for the party or
its list, but for Livni. She has the full right to feel, even if
just for a single night, that she is the local Obama.
II. "Lost before Winning"
Diplomatic correspondent Ben Caspit wrote in the popular, pluralist
Maariv (2/11): Only Netanyahu is capable of losing an election
which had been a guaranteed victory and then becoming the next prime
minister. If only Netanyahu had had a few more days he would also
have lost his bid for the role of prime minister. There wasn't a
mistake he did not make in the course of his campaign. There was
not a single ditch he did not dig for himself. No momentum he did
not bring to a halt. His failed deeds will be studied in years to
come. And yet, in the end of the day, if there is no huge surprise,
he will still IsraelQs next prime minister. God have mercy on such
a government, god have mercy on Israel. Not because of Netanyahu or
his capabilities. Because of the system. Because of the stalemate.
Because of the dead end. Yesterday he learned that he who eats
alone also loses alone. His loss was not great enough to cost him
the role of prime minister. We can only hope that it has taught him
a lesson. Netanyahu has a real behavior problem. This has not
changed in the course of the years. It has even, perhaps, gotten
worse. If he doesnQt straighten up, his second term will be even
shorter than his first.
III. "Election Equations"
The conservative, independent Jerusalem Post editorialized (2/11):
Benjamin Netanyahu has been pigeonholed as hawkish. And while it
is true that Tzipi Livni is a centrist, Israel's entire political
spectrum has shifted rightward in reaction to years of Palestinian
intransigence.... Isn't the [British newspaper The] Guardian's
Jonathan Freedland oversimplifying in claiming that Netanyahu rules
out any compromise on Jerusalem, and is still refusing to accept
a Palestinian state? Is it not a gross exaggeration to claim, as an
Associated Press dispatch did, that Netanyahu opposes giving up
land for peace? Netanyahu told The Jerusalem Post that he would be
delighted to find a formula that allows the Palestinians to govern
themselves and Israel to live in security. Regardless of whether
our next prime minister is called Livni or Netanyahu, Israel needs
an Arab partner with whom to make peace. Ultimately, of course, a
deal is dependent on what happens in both polities. That said,
Israel must not shirk its half of the conflict resolution equation.
Our next premier must ensure that all coalition partners in the new
government are committed to what, is after all, a strategic
imperative for Israel -- peace.
IV. "Now Is the Time to Merge"
Diplomatic correspondent Aluf Benn wrote in the independent,
left-leaning Ha'aretz (2/11): There is no ideological difference
between Labor and Kadima that could constitute an immovable obstacle
to the parties' merger. Both combine political moderation with
security-minded toughness, and their participation in the Olmert
government was characterized by agreement on most of the fundamental
issues. The crises stemmed from a personal dispute between Ehud
Barak and Ehud Olmert, not from differences of opinion. A merger
would strengthen the camp that supports a division of the land and a
peace deal with Syria, in contrast with the right wing, which
opposes any compromise or withdrawal. As the largest parliamentary
faction, the merged party would be the one to form the next
government. Even if it needs right-wing parties in the coalition,
it would still be a center-left government -- and this is how Israel
would be viewed by the rest of the world. A merger would keep the
right wing from expanding the settlements, would save Israel from
clashing with the administration of U.S. President Barack Obama, and
would do away with the racist ideas of Avigdor Lieberman.
¶V. From a Tie to a Decisive Government
Former Meretz leader Dr. Yossi Beilin wrote in the independent
Israel Hayom (2/11): Responding to those who would suggest a
rotation and a stable coalition, a decisive coalition is necessary
... I had much rather see a government with a clear direction, with
two principal goals: the energetic continuation of the diplomatic
move vis-`-vis the Palestinians and Syria, and an expansive economic
policy investing in infrastructure.... When the support of the
entire [center-left] camp is ensured, Livni could check at the same
time the possibility of expanding the coalition through bodies such
as United Torah Judaism and other factions. The right-wing camp
may still reserve more surprises in the future.
VI. "The Public Said QNoQ to the Left-Wing Bloc"
Editor-in-Chief Amnon Lord wrote in the editorial of the
nationalist, Orthodox Makor Rishon-Hatzofe (2/11): Outwardly, the
results of yesterdays elections are a tie between the two large
parties, but there is no doubt which political bloc won the
elections big-time. The right-wing bloc scores a huge electoral
victory - as is well known, a split one, but with a statement by
the Israeli public regarding the Kadima governments policy over the
past three years. That statement cannot be interpreted by an elated
Kadima leader as victory.... If the Knesset eventually looks like
yesterdays exit polls, well force a political situation of a
right-wing government in which there is no natural partner for a
national unity government. Kadima came out [of the elections] too
strong.
VII. The Preferred Candidate
Haaretz editorialized (2/10): In today's elections, the contenders
for prime minister are Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu and Kadima
leader Tzipi Livni, each of whom represents a different approach to
Israel's future.... Netanyahu's positions and the Likud's extreme
Knesset list guarantee the perpetuation of the occupation and the
settlements (under the guise of economic peace), and bode poorly
for Israel's international status. His policy will lead Israel to a
confrontation with Barack Obama's administration, which seeks to
advance the two-state solution. Livni is not an ideal candidate.
She pushed the outgoing cabinet to an erroneous war in Gaza and
drove to expand it into a ground operation.... But in the most
important issue at stake, the one in which the candidates present
clear differences in approach and way -- the future of the relations
with the Palestinians -- Livni has made the right decision for
dividing the land and the two-state solution. She has adhered to
this approach for several years now and led the move to resume the
final status arrangement talks with Ehud Olmert in the outgoing
government.... This is why, despite the doubts concerning her
experience and her aggressive stance regarding the fighting in Gaza,
Livni is better than Netanyahu as Israel's next prime minister.
CUNNINGHAM