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Viewing cable 09TELAVIV371, ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION
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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
---|---|---|---|---|
09TELAVIV371 | 2009-02-12 11:26 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tel Aviv |
VZCZCXYZ0000
PP RUEHWEB
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TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0479
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RHEHNSC/WHITE HOUSE NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAHQA/HQ USAF WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEADWD/DA WASHDC PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/CNO WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEHAD/AMEMBASSY ABU DHABI PRIORITY 5002
RUEHAS/AMEMBASSY ALGIERS PRIORITY 1599
RUEHAM/AMEMBASSY AMMAN PRIORITY 5466
RUEHAK/AMEMBASSY ANKARA PRIORITY 5807
RUEHLB/AMEMBASSY BEIRUT PRIORITY 5036
RUEHEG/AMEMBASSY CAIRO PRIORITY 3511
RUEHDM/AMEMBASSY DAMASCUS PRIORITY 5829
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON PRIORITY 2663
RUEHFR/AMEMBASSY PARIS PRIORITY 0876
RUEHRB/AMEMBASSY RABAT PRIORITY 9589
RUEHRO/AMEMBASSY ROME PRIORITY 7086
RUEHRH/AMEMBASSY RIYADH PRIORITY 2039
RUEHTU/AMEMBASSY TUNIS PRIORITY 6092
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY 8125
RUEHJI/AMCONSUL JEDDAH PRIORITY 0920
RUEHJM/AMCONSUL JERUSALEM PRIORITY 1387
RHMFISS/CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL PRIORITY
RHMFISS/COMSOCEUR VAIHINGEN GE PRIORITY
RHMFIUU/COMSIXTHFLT PRIORITY
UNCLAS TEL AVIV 000371
STATE FOR NEA, NEA/IPA, NEA/PPD
WHITE HOUSE FOR PRESS OFFICE, SIT ROOM
NSC FOR NEA STAFF
SECDEF WASHDC FOR USDP/ASD-PA/ASD-ISA
HQ USAF FOR XOXX
DA WASHDC FOR SASA
JOINT STAFF WASHDC FOR PA
CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL FOR POLAD/USIA ADVISOR
COMSOCEUR VAIHINGEN GE FOR PAO/POLAD
COMSIXTHFLT FOR 019
JERUSALEM ALSO ICD
LONDON ALSO FOR HKANONA AND POL
PARIS ALSO FOR POL
ROME FOR MFO
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OPRC KMDR IS
SUBJECT: ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION
--------------------------------
SUBJECTS COVERED IN THIS REPORT:
--------------------------------
¶1. Aftermath of Israeli Elections
¶2. Mideast
-------------------------
Key stories in the media:
-------------------------
Major media reported that yesterday President Obama congratulated
President Shimon Peres on the successful election process in Israel.
Peres explained the Israeli system of government to President
Obama. The media reported that the U.S. administration is taking a
cautious approach to the election results. The Jerusalem Post
reported that U.S. officials are publicly taking a wait-and-see
approach to the formation of the new government, but that privately
many have expressed concern that Netanyahu might preside over a
right-wing coalition. Yediot quoted a senior White House source as
saying that the United StatesQ hope is the formation of government
that is devoted to a peace agreement with the Palestinians.
All media led with the aftermath of the Israeli elections and
initial coalition talks -- from various perspectives. HaQaretz
quoted Kadima leader Tzipi Livni as saying yesterday that, despite
her slim chance of forming a government, she will make every effort
to do so Qfor my voters.Q However, she said she would not pay an
Qexorbitant priceQ for other partiesQ agreement to join her. The
media reported that the final results of the elections will be
published this evening.
According to Yediot and Maariv, Yisrael Beiteinu leader Avigdor
Lieberman, who met separately yesterday with Livni and Likud
Chairman Benjamin Netanyahu, holds the key to the formation of the
next government. Speaking on Israel Radio this morning, Lieberman
said that he already knows who he will recommend to President Peres
as the shaper of the next coalition.
The Jerusalem Post quoted senior officials in Likud and Kadima as
saying yesterday that both parties will be able to form a government
together under NetanyahuQs leadership, on the basis of equality
between the two parties. Israel Radio quoted senior Likud sources
as saying that Netanyahu is very interested in forming a government
with Kadima and that he is willing to hand over to it two of the
three key portfolios -Q defense, foreign affairs, and finance.
The media reported that the Labor Party is likely to quit government
activity. Media quoted party chairman Ehud Barak as saying so
privately.
Leading media noted that today is the anniversary of the
assassination of senior Hizbullah member Imad Mughniyah and that
Israeli and foreign security forces are on high alert in the country
and abroad.
HaQaretz reported that PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas has conducted an
international campaign in recent weeks aimed at the diplomatic
isolation of a right-wing government headed by Netanyahu. Abbas has
been trying to convince the international community that such an
Israeli government must face conditions similar to those faced by
the Hamas government. HaQaretz quoted a senior political source in
Jerusalem as saying yesterday that the leaders of France, Britain,
and Italy have promised Abbas that they would not allow any new
Israeli government to delay or freeze the peace process. The same
source said that Netanyahu's statements on continuing the peace
process and on "economic peace" are perceived by Abbas and his aides
as "empty promises." Senior Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erekat was
quoted as saying in an interview with The Jerusalem Post that an
Israeli government that rejects the two-state solution and
agreements signed with the PLO and PA and will not stop settlement
activities would be considered a Qnon-partner.Q However, Maariv and
Makor Rishon-Hatzofe quoted Abbas as saying in an interview with the
Italian daily La Repubblica that the PA is not worried about the
strengthening of the right in the Israeli elections.
Israel Radio quoted sources in Cairo as saying that Egypt-Hamas
talks will produce an 18-month truce with Israel today.
Leading media reported that incoming National Union Knesset Member
Michael Ben-Ari was an associate of the late far-right leader Rabbi
Meir Kahane.
Makor Rishon-Hatzofe reported that yesterday the military junta
ruling in Mauritania decided to close down the countryQs embassy in
Israel.
-----------------------------------
¶1. Aftermath of Israeli Elections:
-----------------------------------
Summary:
--------
Diplomatic correspondent Herb Keinon wrote in the conservative,
independent Jerusalem Post: QGoing on the assumption that Netanyahu
will form the next government, it will be easier to politely turn
down the Americans if the coalition is not a narrow, right-wing one
but rather a wide government.
The Jerusalem Post editorialized: QA unity government would
indicate Israeli readiness to encourage any genuine shift toward
Palestinian moderation and viable accommodation.
Uri Savir, Oslo Accords architect and President of the Peres Center
for Peace, wrote in the popular, pluralist Maariv: QIt is proposed
that [a unity] government adopt a bold policy, in coordination with
the Obama administration.
The independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz editorialized: Q[The Labor
Party and Meretz] must rehabilitate and rebuild themselves in the
opposition as a serious left alternative to the right-wing bloc that
won the election. Their leaders are responsible for this failure --
Barak and Oron must move aside.
Block Quotes:
-------------
¶I. "The Coalition Calculus of Saying QNoQ to America"
Diplomatic correspondent Herb Keinon wrote in the conservative,
independent Jerusalem Post (2/12): QWith a new administration in the
U.S. already pursuing a new Middle East agenda, there is bound to be
a degree of friction between the U.S. and Israel.... But, going on
the assumption that Netanyahu will form the next government, it will
be easier to politely turn down the Americans if the coalition is
not a narrow, right-wing one with a shaky five-seat majority, but
rather a wide government of 93 Knesset members (Likud, Kadima,
Israel Beiteinu, Shas, United Torah Judaism, the National Union and
Habayit Hayehudi [i.e. the Jewish Home]). For instance, a message
coming from Israel that it will not be willing to cede any part of
Jerusalem to a foreign government would pack a more convincing punch
were it to come from the head of a government of 93, than were it to
come from the head of a wobbly government of 65.... Considering the
coalition math, the only way it seems the U.S. will be able to deal
with Livni in any capacity is if she joins a Netanyahu government.
And by joining Netanyahu, she could be helping put together a
government that could be less susceptible to U.S. pressure, less
pliable, than if she were to opt for the opposition.
II. "Unity, Now"
The Jerusalem Post editorialized (2/12): QIsrael does not have the
luxury of squandering precious time on coalition bargaining. The
existential threat posed by Iran, as well as lesser -- by comparison
-- security and foreign policy challenges, combined with the need to
competently address the local impact of the global economic crisis,
demands leadership of the highest caliber.... Given that the
QmoderateQ Mahmoud Abbas could not, or would not, cut a deal with
Ehud Olmert, notwithstanding the latter's generosity of spirit (and
desperation to end his tenure on a high note), it is self-evident
that, for now, Jerusalem has no partner for peace. A unity
government, however, would indicate Israeli readiness to encourage
any genuine shift toward Palestinian moderation and viable
accommodation. Netanyahu could form a short-lived, narrow
right-wing government, while Livni does not appear to have an option
of heading a government without the Likud -- a reality that means
Netanyahu holds the upper hand in coalition building, and would
require Livni accepting the deputy leader's position in a unity
alliance. Avigdor Lieberman could play a constructive role as
minister of the interior and member of the security cabinet.
Admittedly, such a scenario requires Livni and Lieberman to put
country first. Given the Jewish state's need for four years of
stable government under capable stewardship, this is not too much to
ask.
III. "The 100-Day Plan"
Uri Savir, Oslo Accords architect and President of the Peres Center
for Peace, wrote in the popular, pluralist Maariv (2/12): QWe appear
to be advancing towards a national unity government, under the
leadership of the Likud and Kadima. In order for us not to become a
national paralysis government, a discussion of substance is more
important than a discussion of personal roles. Therefore, what
follows is a proposal for government action in the first 100 days.
The government should act to stabilize the cease-fire and the
arrangement [with Hamas]. The government should pay the necessary
price for securing the return of Gilad Shalit, if he is not returned
before it is formed. Coordination of peace and security policy with
the Obama administration, its representatives and its envoys.... The
most important issue relates to stabilizing the peace and security
process, including policy vis-`-vis Iran and its fundamentalist
satellites. It is proposed that the government adopt a bold policy,
in coordination with the Obama administration, on the following
topics: Convening a regional conference, in order to discuss general
matters concerning the peace process, on the basis of the Saudi
initiative and the Madrid Conference. Launching negotiations with
the Palestinians.... As for Jerusalem, implementation of the Clinton
plan, i.e., one united city that is a capital for two states.... As
for Syria, Israel should check with the United States whether Bashar
Assad is indeed a serious partner.... In the regional context, the
new government should prepare for comprehensive normalization, as
stated by the Saudi initiative.... This is a brave formula for a new
national unity government, but if our new-old leaders want to lead
us to stability, prosperity, and peace, this is the only way, and
the direction will already be examined in the first 100 days of its
tenure.
IV. "Soul-Searching on the Left"
The independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz editorialized (2/12):
QDespite the lack of clarity about the next government, one thing is
becoming painfully clear -- the entire left-wing bloc has suffered a
crushing defeat in the election.... Both left-wing parties have
suffered a crisis and their leaders -- Ehud Barak and Haim Oron --
failed to read the deep changes in the Israeli political map and led
their parties to a dead-end. Labor's identity crisis has been known
for many years. Ever since Yitzhak Rabin's murder, the differences
between this party and Likud have been indiscernible.... Meretz has
other problems. From the moment it was formed, as a merger of
Mapam, the Citizens' Rights Movement, and Shinui, its ideology has
been dissolving. Its gifted, inspired, and courageous leaders have
retired, leaving the party without a leadership to keep it from
sinking. Oron was wrong when he made Yossi Beilin Meretz's previous
leader. Beilin symbolized a peace policy, but alienated the party
from large interest groups. Oron erred again when he presented
himself in the election campaign as a man Qeverybody loves.Q Both
parties failed to provide a convincing alternative. They must
rehabilitate and rebuild themselves in the opposition as a serious
left alternative to the right-wing bloc that won the election.
Their leaders are responsible for this failure -- Barak and Oron
must move aside.
------------
¶2. Mideast:
------------
Summary:
--------
Steven J. Rosen, a former senior AIPAC official and a defendant in
the AIPAC case, wrote in the conservative, independent Jerusalem
Post: QObama is assembling a team of intelligent centrists with a
realistic, pragmatic approach. Many of them have experience in the
tough environment of the Middle East, where the use of force is
sometimes required.
Block Quotes:
-------------
"Assessing the Obama Mideast Team"
Steven J. Rosen, a former senior AIPAC official and a defendant in
the AIPAC case, wrote in the conservative, independent Jerusalem
Post (2/12): QThe Left is not happy with most of Obama's core
Mideast team, with the possible exception of [George] Mitchell....
For those of us who feared that an inexperienced president so
enthusiastically embraced by the left wing of the Democratic Party
might fill the roster with its favorites, there is scant evidence so
far that our worst fears are being realized. Instead, Obama is
assembling a team of intelligent centrists with a realistic,
pragmatic approach. Many of them have experience in the tough
environment of the Middle East, where the use of force is sometimes
required. None is starry-eyed and romantic about the Arabs. Many
have extensive experience with Israel and some understanding of its
strategic position. On the other hand, nowhere on the list so far
is there a true hawk either, an Elliott Abrams or a Doug Feith or a
John Bolton or a Paul Wolfowitz.... Some of the enthusiasts in the
Qpeace campQ are urging Obama to produce an American plan for the
solution, one that by their definition would diverge from the terms
Israel considers vital to its national interests, lest we are seen
as QIsrael's lawyer.Q If Obama takes all this bad advice, it won't
bring peace to the Middle East, but it will bring tension between
Israel and its most important ally.... It is too soon to know
whether the new administration will make any of these or other
mistakes. We had plenty of reasons to be anxious about George Bush
the day he took over, influenced as he was by big oil, the Saudis,
and some of his father's bad advisers. The fears many of us had
about Obama during the campaign as to the people he might appoint to
run Mideast policy are not being realized. Maybe the potential
mistakes listed above also won't happen.
CUNNINGHAM