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Viewing cable 06BUENOSAIRES119, MINISTER DE VIDO DISCUSSES ECONOMIC AND ENERGY
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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
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06BUENOSAIRES119 | 2006-01-17 21:16 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Buenos Aires |
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 05 BUENOS AIRES 000119
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
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WHA FOR AMBASSADOR TOM SHANNON, AMBASSADOR CHARLES SHAPIRO
AND PATRICK DUFFY
NSC FOR DAN FISK
SOUTHCOM FOR POLAD AND J5 FOR JUAN RENTA
USDOC FOR 4322/MAC/OLAC/BASTIAN/PEACHER
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL ECON EINV ENRG EFIN AR BL VE
SUBJECT: MINISTER DE VIDO DISCUSSES ECONOMIC AND ENERGY
ISSUES WITH CODEL MCCONNELL
-------
Summary
-------
¶1. (SBU) Minister of Planning Julio DeVido received CODEL
McConnell on January 11. DeVido noted that the GOA and the
U.S. Embassy had a constant dialogue and that they worked
together to monitor the status of U.S. companies in
Argentina. DeVido said he was optimistic about the future of
the Argentine economy but admitted that inflation is now the
GOA's major challenge. He highlighted the GOA's growing
investment in infrastructure and public works. DeVido said
the GOA had been faced with a potential energy crisis when it
took office and that this crisis had been averted by
importing natural gas from Bolivia and fuel oil from
Venezuela. The Ministry of Planning is now trying to
negotiate the long-tern purchase of 20 million cubic meters
of natural gas per day from Bolivia to supply to proposed USD
1.2 billion Northeastern Natural Gas Pipeline (GNA). Plans
are also moving forward for the construction of a USD 11
billion natural gas pipeline from Puerto Ordaz, Venezuela to
northeast Brazil and from there to Sao Paulo and on to
Argentina. Finally, DeVido said the GOA plans to use the
greater mandate it obtained in the October 23, 2005 elections
to pass legislation that would promote investment in the
energy sector and obtain support for long-term economic
policies. End Summary.
----------------------------------------
The Status of the Bilateral Relationship
----------------------------------------
¶2. (U) Minister of Planning Julio DeVido received CODEL
McConnell on January 11. DeVido was accompanied by economic
advisor and Secretary of Communications Guillermo Moreno.
CODEL McConnell was accompanied by the Ambassador and the
Economic Counselor (notetaker). DeVido began the meeting by
reminding the delegation that his first official meeting as
Minister of Planning was with Senator Mel Martinez when the
then-U.S. Secretary for Housing and Urban Development led the
U.S. delegation to the inauguration of President Kirchner on
May 26, 2003. Senator Mitch McConnell asked DeVido for his
thoughts and said that the delegation would later like to ask
a number of questions.
¶3. (SBU) DeVido noted that the GOA and the U.S. Embassy had
a constant dialogue and that they worked together to monitor
the status of U.S. companies in Argentina. The venue for
this joint effort had been his personal office and a series
of meetings and events at the Ambassador's residence. DeVido
explained that Argentina's economic crisis had led to the
renegotiation of public service contracts. Thanks to the
good offices of the U.S. Embassy, a constructive dialogue had
developed that resulted in U.S. companies like AES and
Pioneer Natural Resources being the first companies to had
waive their ICSID international arbitration claims and enter
into new agreements with the GOA.
¶4. (SBU) DeVido added that he had traveled to the U.S. in
December at the invitation of the Council of the Americas in
New York, where he had met with an audience of 300
businessmen who were "very interested in investing" in his
areas of responsibility, e.g., energy, mining,
transportation, communications, and infrastructure/public
works. He had also met separately with Deutschebank,
Fintech, ExxonMobil, and CMS, all of whom "are interested in
investing in Argentina." He said he was now working with
Argentine Consul General in New York Hector Timmerman to
organize a reverse visit with U.S. investors in Buenos Aires
in April.
BUENOS AIR 00000119 002 OF 005
---------------------
The Argentine Economy
---------------------
¶5. (SBU) DeVido said he was optimistic about the future of
the Argentine economy. The GOA had renegotiated its private
debt and had paid off its IMF debt in full. Total debt has
been reduced by USD 67 billion to USD 110 billion and debt as
a percent of GDP has been reduced from 150 percent to 50
percent. GDP has increased by 9 percent per year for the
last three years and the Ministry of Planning believes
Argentina can reach 9 percent growth again in 2006.
Unemployment was 23 percent when President Kirchner took
office and is now 10 percent. Inflation was 12 percent in
2005 and is expected to be at the same level or reduced to 11
percent in 2006. DeVido also admitted that inflation is now
the GOA's major challenge. The solution is for consumer
protection agencies to establish clearer ground rules for
competition and for the state "to recover its former ability
to examine cost structures" to determine adequate pricing.
¶6. (SBU) DeVido highlighted the GOA's growing investment in
infrastructure and public works, including housing, ports,
airports, roads and bridges. Investment in infrastructure
and public works has increased from USD 800 million in 2003
to USD 1.8 billion in 2004, USD 2.7 billion in 2005 and a
projected USD 4 billion in 2006. Regarding the U.S., the
Ministry of Planning is working with the Secretary of
Communications in Brazil on the digitization of TV. The
Ministry of Planning is very interested in U.S. Secretary of
Commerce Carlos M. Gutierrez' offer to work with Argentina on
the U.S. digital TV standard. President Kirchner will make a
state visit to Brazil to meet with President Lula on January
18 and this subject will probably be discussed at that time.
---------------------------
Argentina's Energy Equation
---------------------------
¶7. (SBU) DeVido said the GOA had been faced with a
potential energy crisis when it took office. This crisis had
been averted using guidelines provided by President Kirchner
and the Energy Plan that the Ministry of Planning announced
in May 2004. The Energy Plan was based on the expansion of
the electric transportation system, which is already under
way, and the construction of additional power generation
capacity, which will soon be put out for bid. The Ministry
of Planning intends to build two combined-cycle power
generating plants north and south of Rosario, in Santa Fe
Province, with a combined capacity of 1,000 megawatts. He
said that he had already spoken to GE of the U.S., Alcatel
Alsthom of France, and Mitsubishi of Japan about these
projects and that he expected great participation in the
bidding process. He added that Citigroup of the U.S. had
recently offered to finance this and other gas-fired thermal
power projects.
¶8. (SBU) DeVido explained that Argentina's energy equation
was heavily dependent on natural gas, with natural gas
providing over 50 percent of Argentina's energy needs. The
production and transport of natural gas was one of the
bottlenecks that the Ministry of Planning found when he took
office. The Ministry of Planning solved this problem in the
winter of 2004 by: 1) importing 5 million cubic meters of
natural gas per day via the then-unused Yacuiba-Pocitos
natural gas pipeline between southern Bolivia and northwest
Argentina; and 2) importing 200,000 tons of fuel oil from
Venezuela to be used in Argentina's coastal power plants,
BUENOS AIR 00000119 003 OF 005
displacing natural gas for use in other sectors (such as
industrial manufacturing and residential heating).
¶9. (SBU) The Ministry of Planning is now trying to negotiate
the long-term purchase of 20 million cubic meters of natural
gas per day from Bolivia to supply the proposed USD 1.2
billion Northeastern Natural Gas Pipeline (GNA) which would
provide natural gas for the provinces of Salta, Jujuy,
Formosa, Chaco, Corrientes, Misiones, Entre Rios and Santa
Fe, including the industrial center and port of Rosario.
Describing Argentina's regional energy relationship, DeVido
said that Argentina consumes 130 million cubic meters of
natural gas per day, exports 20 million cubic meters per day
to Chile, imports 5 million cubic meters per day from
Bolivia, and wants to increase this latter amount to 25
million cubic meters per day. This is much different than
Brazil, which consumes 65 million cubic meters per day and
imports 27 million cubic meters per day from Bolivia. This
means that Brazil is and will continue to be much more
dependent on natural gas from Bolivia than Argentina, even
after the proposed construction of the GNA pipeline. The
price for the purchase of Bolivian natural gas would be part
of the President Kirchner discussions with President Lula on
January 18.
¶10. (SBU) Plans are also moving forward for the construction
of a USD 11 billion natural gas pipeline from Puerto Ordaz,
Venezuela to northeast Brazil and from there down to Sao
Paulo and on to Argentina. Brazil would be able to finance
most of the project, since 90 percent of the pipeline would
be in Brazil, with only 5 percent in Venezuela and 5 percent
in Argentina. The GOA would also go to the international
markets to help finance its part of the project. The supply
of Venezuelan natural gas is very important to the Sao
Paulo-Rosario-Buenos Aires industrial axis and would have a
great economic impact on both countries. Comment: Local
energy analysts argue that the lack of natural gas reserves
in Venezuela, high construction costs, lack of financing and
environmental challenges, such as crossing the Amazon, make
this project unfeasible. The explain that much of the
associated natural gas found in Venezuela is reinjected into
the fields to extract oil. At the same time, there is not
enough unassociated natural gas to justify such a pipeline.
End Comment.
¶11. (SBU) Senator Richard Burr asked why the Ministry of
Planning was involved in organizing the construction of
additional power generating capacity in a sector that had
been privatized. DeVido responded that the Ministry of
Planning had to subsidize the difference between the fixed
price of domestically produced natural gas and the imported
price of fuel oil for power generation in those plants that
were forced to use fuel oil and that the government had
required those plants to invest 65 percent of their subsidies
in additional power generating capacity. The rest of the
financing will come from an industrial tariff increase that
will be refunded to the industrial users after a five year
grace period.
---------------------
Bolivia and Venezuela
---------------------
¶12. (SBU) Senator John Thune said the U.S. appreciates
Argentina's contribution to democracy in the hemisphere, its
support in the UN with non-proliferation in Iran, its
cooperation on counterterrorism in the tri-border area, its
economic partnership with U.S. companies in Argentina, and
its cooperation with security interests in the region. He
stressed that both countries had much in common in shared
BUENOS AIR 00000119 004 OF 005
values and objectives and congratulated Argentina on its
economic turnaround. He then asked DeVido for his assessment
of developments in Bolivia and Venezuela.
¶13. (SBU) Regarding Bolivia, DeVido replied that the GOA
has always supported the Government of Bolivia and is
currently providing USD 50 million per year in royalties for
the purchase of natural gas. The purchase of additional
volumes of natural gas from Bolivia would provide even more
resources for the GOB. DeVido said he had tried to make
contact with the Morales team on two occasions, but both
meetings were canceled. DeVido observed that it is unclear
how the leadership within the Morales government will be
consolidated, since there are divisions between Morales'
supporters. President-Elect Evo Morales Ayma,
Vice-President-Elect Alvaro Garcia Linera and two gas experts
will be coming to Buenos Aires on January 17, which will be
the GOA's first opportunity to meet with the Morales team.
"We can't say that Bolivia is like Venezuela, yet," he said.
¶14. (SBU) Concerning Venezuela, DeVido responded that the
GOA had increased Argentina's commercial relationship with
Venezuela from USD 150 million to USD 1 billion. The GOA
purchased fuel oil from Venezuela in 2004 and 2005 and the
payment for this fuel oil has gone into a fund that has been
used to purchase hydroelectric equipment from an Argentine
turbine manufacturer, agricultural tractors and combines,
medical equipment, and agricultural technology, especially in
the areas of soybeans and beef. The newly established
Argentine state oil company ENARSA will also be working with
private oil companies to exploit a heavy oil area along the
Orinoco River. The Ministry of Planning has also invited
Venezuelan oil company PDVSA to explore for oil and gas in
Argentina's offshore blocks, but the Ministry of Planning
"has not signed anything yet." Comment: The GOA announced on
January 11 that Repsol YPF of Spain, Petrobras of Brazil,
ANCAP of Uruguay and ENARSA had agreed to invest between USD
40 and USD 100 million in the exploration of oil in the
Cuenca Colorado Marina offshore block east of Buenos Aires
Province. This will be the GOA/ENARSA's first entry into oil
and gas activities since formerly state-owned YPF was
privatized in 1999. End Comment.
¶15. (SBU) Senator Thune said the GOA was in a position to
use Argentina's growing economic relationship with Venezuela
to support democracy in that country. DeVido responded that
President Kirchner had met with the Venezuelan opposition.
He also thought it was a mistake for the Venezuelan
opposition to refuse to participate in the recent national
elections. "You can lose one election," he reasoned, "but
you can win another."
---------------------
Intellectual Property
---------------------
¶16. (SBU) Senator Burr said that U.S. investors needed to
know that their intellectual property would be protected if
they invested in Argentina. He then asked how the Ministry
of Planning treated intellectual property from outside the
country. DeVido said that the royalties in his areas of
responsibility were always paid and that he did not know if
any IPR conflicts in his area. He acknowledged that there
were conflicts in the agricultural and pharmaceutical
sectors, but these areas were outside his area of
responsibility, in which case it would be better to consult
with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Senator Burr noted
that there was an issue regarding the analog to digital
conversion of broadcast TV to protect movie producers from
BUENOS AIR 00000119 005 OF 005
illegal reproduction. DeVido replied that he understood the
Senator's concern.
¶17. (SBU) Senator Martinez congratulated DeVido on the GOA
for its success in overcoming a severe economic and political
crisis and for having restored peace of mind to the Argentine
people. He added that the U.S. is concerned about Latin
America and wants to establish a better and closer
relationship with the region.
¶18. (SBU) Senator McConnell asked what the GOA planned to
do with the greater mandate it had obtained as a result of
the October 23, 2005 national elections. DeVido replied that
governance would be much easier since the GOA now had the
simple majority that is needed for the passage of most
legislation. The GOA also has a series of bills that it
hopes to pass this year. For example, the Ministry of
Planning has prepared draft legislation that would convert a
presidential decree into a law to promote investment in the
energy sector, such as oil and natural gas pipelines and
power plants. Converting the presidential decree into a law
will provide greater judicial security for investors, lower
the interest rates on the financing needed for projects in
the sector, and thereby facilitate investment. The GOA will
also use its mandate to work with the political opposition to
obtain support for long-term economic policies.
GUTIERREZ